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Tuesday, March 13, 2007

March Madness

It's a shame I haven't been updating my blog, since so much has been going on in the world. Most recently, Jenny and I roadtripped down to Los Angeles to see the Pac-10 Men's Basketball tournament. We made it just in time for the tip-off of Stanford v. USC on Thursday. Unfortunately, we lost the game in overtime, putting Stanford's NCAA tournament hopes in jeopardy. Since we had tickets for the rest of the games, we went to Friday's semifinal games, watching Oregon dominate Kal and USC stifle Washington State. Luckily, we sold our tickets for the Championship match, which turned out to be an excellent choice, since USC got completely dominated by Bryce Taylor's amazing 11-11 shooting (32 pts) and Oregon. Instead, we went over to Pasedena and met up with some friends to go to Ding Tai Fung, one of the best dumpling houses ever! For the 6 of us, we ordered about 80 dumplings. :D

Anyway, I was elated to hear that Stanford was an 11th seed for the tournament and spent a majority of Sunday and Monday reading all of the commentary about the seeding, potential upsets, and cinderella stories. Having filled out a bracket, I feel pretty confident about a few upsets:

VCU over Duke - Duke, dealing with its lowest seed in 11 years, just does not have enough maturity or a go-to shooter. Much of this game will depend on if Paulus will show-up, but VCU (having beaten George Mason to win the Colonial Athletic championship and could thus be this year's George Mason), has more upperclassmen and quality wins against Albany and Old Dominion, two other potential sleepers in the tournament. I don't see them going past the second round because Pittsburgh always finds a way to score, but a probably upset against Duke.

Oral Roberts over Washington State - Having seen Washington State play in the semifinals at the Pac-10 tournament, I'm hesitant if Kyle Weaver and Derrick Low adequately penetrate to the hoop, especially against a defensive Oral Roberts team. It's a stretch, since this is a 14th seed knocking off a 3 seed, but if there was one game in the tournament where it could happen, this would be it. Tony Bennett showed he couldn't provide an answer for USC last Friday, and I'm not sure he will be able to in the Big Dance either.

Arkansas over USC - I just want this to happen so bad, since USC beat Stanford in the Pac-1o tournament.

Stanford over Louisville - This would make my week. Stanford certainly has a size advantage and great perimeter shooting with Goods and Hill, but when Brook and Robin get in foul trouble, and Stanford gets in turnover trouble (they had the highest turnover to assist ratio in the Pac-10), one starts to wonder. Plus, Louisville will be playing in their back yard in Lexington, so the home court advantage might help, especially since Stanford does not have quality wins on the road, with the exception of Virginia and Texas Tech (on neutral territory). Regardless, I don't see either team beating Texas A&M, but getting to the second round for Stanford would prove that they deserved to play in the Big Dance.

Final Four:
Florida (1) over UCLA (2) - A rematch of last year's Final game, where Noah and co. prove that coming back for another year was worth it.

Texas (4) over Texas A&M (3) - Texas A&M, still reeling from their 2OT loss to Texas in the regular season, still has no answer for Durant. Law IV is clutch, but not enough to stop Texas.

Final:
Texas (4) over Florida (1) - Similar to Syracuse's champsionship with Carmelo Anthony, Durant takes over and scores 30+ points and grabs 10+ boards in a game for the ages. Texas goes crazy while Florida misses a chance to win the NCAA Football and Basketball Championship in the same year.

My predictions, however, seem to change every 4 hours, so I'll post any final changes on Thursday. The only difference I see is if I become more confident about Ohio State over Texas A&M (which I'm currently not), or see Purdue (9) over Arizona (8) or similarly, BYU (8) losing to Xavier (9). UNC also has a chance to go really deep and they could even take out Texas in the Sweet Sixteen, and I'll have to think long and hard about that one too. Texas vs. UNC in the Sweet Sixteen? The matches this year are going to be AMAZING.

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

March Madness

It's a shame I haven't been updating my blog, since so much has been going on in the world. Most recently, Jenny and I roadtripped down to Los Angeles to see the Pac-10 Men's Basketball tournament. We made it just in time for the tip-off of Stanford v. USC on Thursday. Unfortunately, we lost the game in overtime, putting Stanford's NCAA tournament hopes in jeopardy. Since we had tickets for the rest of the games, we went to Friday's semifinal games, watching Oregon dominate Kal and USC stifle Washington State. Luckily, we sold our tickets for the Championship match, which turned out to be an excellent choice, since USC got completely dominated by Bryce Taylor's amazing 11-11 shooting (32 pts) and Oregon. Instead, we went over to Pasedena and met up with some friends to go to Ding Tai Fung, one of the best dumpling houses ever! For the 6 of us, we ordered about 80 dumplings. :D

Anyway, I was elated to hear that Stanford was an 11th seed for the tournament and spent a majority of Sunday and Monday reading all of the commentary about the seeding, potential upsets, and cinderella stories. Having filled out a bracket, I feel pretty confident about a few upsets:

VCU over Duke - Duke, dealing with its lowest seed in 11 years, just does not have enough maturity or a go-to shooter. Much of this game will depend on if Paulus will show-up, but VCU (having beaten George Mason to win the Colonial Athletic championship and could thus be this year's George Mason), has more upperclassmen and quality wins against Albany and Old Dominion, two other potential sleepers in the tournament. I don't see them going past the second round because Pittsburgh always finds a way to score, but a probably upset against Duke.

Oral Roberts over Washington State - Having seen Washington State play in the semifinals at the Pac-10 tournament, I'm hesitant if Kyle Weaver and Derrick Low adequately penetrate to the hoop, especially against a defensive Oral Roberts team. It's a stretch, since this is a 14th seed knocking off a 3 seed, but if there was one game in the tournament where it could happen, this would be it. Tony Bennett showed he couldn't provide an answer for USC last Friday, and I'm not sure he will be able to in the Big Dance either.

Arkansas over USC - I just want this to happen so bad, since USC beat Stanford in the Pac-1o tournament.

Stanford over Louisville - This would make my week. Stanford certainly has a size advantage and great perimeter shooting with Goods and Hill, but when Brook and Robin get in foul trouble, and Stanford gets in turnover trouble (they had the highest turnover to assist ratio in the Pac-10), one starts to wonder. Plus, Louisville will be playing in their back yard in Lexington, so the home court advantage might help, especially since Stanford does not have quality wins on the road, with the exception of Virginia and Texas Tech (on neutral territory). Regardless, I don't see either team beating Texas A&M, but getting to the second round for Stanford would prove that they deserved to play in the Big Dance.

Final Four:
Florida (1) over UCLA (2) - A rematch of last year's Final game, where Noah and co. prove that coming back for another year was worth it.

Texas (4) over Texas A&M (3) - Texas A&M, still reeling from their 2OT loss to Texas in the regular season, still has no answer for Durant. Law IV is clutch, but not enough to stop Texas.

Final:
Texas (4) over Florida (1) - Similar to Syracuse's champsionship with Carmelo Anthony, Durant takes over and scores 30+ points and grabs 10+ boards in a game for the ages. Texas goes crazy while Florida misses a chance to win the NCAA Football and Basketball Championship in the same year.

My predictions, however, seem to change every 4 hours, so I'll post any final changes on Thursday. The only difference I see is if I become more confident about Ohio State over Texas A&M (which I'm currently not), or see Purdue (9) over Arizona (8) or similarly, BYU (8) losing to Xavier (9). UNC also has a chance to go really deep and they could even take out Texas in the Sweet Sixteen, and I'll have to think long and hard about that one too. Texas vs. UNC in the Sweet Sixteen? The matches this year are going to be AMAZING.